Introduction
It is an annual tradition in our home to celebrate Halloween by watching It’s the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown (Melendez, 1966). In this cute story, Linus believes the Great Pumpkin will visit him on Halloween, if he only believes it will come. Linus manages to dupe Sally into his delusion and they both are ridiculed by Lucy and the others who go trick-or-treating. Of course the Great Pumpkin does not come and Sally catches on pretty quickly that she has missed out on all the candy. Linus passes out after he thinks he sees the Great Pumpkin, when in fact it was just Snoopy. Linus' responsible sister, not only got candy for him while she was trick-or-treating, but she also woke up in the middle of the night, retrieved him from the pumpkin patch, brought him safely home and tucked him into bed.
Human history is fraught with people predicting some event, only to be proven incorrect. While some predictions may have low stakes involved, others pull many people into their orbit and can be the catalyst for the start of a new religion or movement. Most of the time, people who believe in an imminent second coming of Christ are dismissed as fringe cultists, while the majority of Christians seem to believe it is inevitable, but perhaps only in the distant future.
In this essay, I'll briefly review and summarize the many failed Second Coming predictions during the last several hundred years, after which I'll discuss how Mormonism approached the subject and more specifically how I personally experienced this subject for the last 30 years. And in contrast to how I was taught about perceiving and discussing the Second Coming, I will review a few anecdotal experiences I've observed in the last few years, and the increase in the number of instances I've observed of close relatives invoking God in prayer to send his son again to earth. Then I will offer a few thoughts on why people would want Christ to come again, and how this desire seemingly abdicates personal responsibility, agency and can even be viewed as breaking the first great commandment (Matthew 22:37).
The Increasing Number of Failed Predictions
The history of the Second Coming of Jesus is marked by a substantial number of failed predictions spanning nearly two millennia. While it's impossible to give a precise, definitive total, the number of publicly documented, notable failed predictions, or periods of intense expectation, is well over a hundred—with some lists containing over 200 different claims.
These predictions have consistently failed because the predicted date or event passed without the physical, visible return of Christ as expected by the claimants. In response, followers often experience what is known as the Great Disappointment, or the claimants simply recalculate the date or reinterpret the prophecy.
The following is a timeline summary of some of the most prominent failed Second Coming and Millennial predictions, grouped by historical periods (Wikipedia Contributors, 2025).
In the early Church and Middle Ages, between the years 500 and 1492, there were many predictions of Christ's return, with most of those focused on significant numerical milestones, biblical numerology, or political events. For example, Hippolytus of Rome, Sextus Julius Africanus, and Irenaeus predicted Christ would return 6000 years after the world was created. This pegged the year at 500 CE. But Christ did not return that year.
The next significant year would be 1000, when various Christians, including Pope Sylvester II, figured Christ would return one millennium after his birth. When Christ did not return that year, they moved the date to 1033, based on the fact this would be 1000 years after his death. But Christ did not return then either.
Next in this period are a few Christian mystics who predicted 1200–1260, 1290, and 1335 as years Christ would return. When these years passed without fanfare, they too moved the dates to later years, which also passed without event. During this same period, Pope Innocent III assumed Christ would return 666 years after the rise of Islam, in the year 1284, but there was no Second Coming that year either.
Lastly various Russian Orthodox Christians using the Byzantine calendar, believed 1492 to be the end of the seventh millennium since the creation of the world, which they took as a sign of the world's end and the Second Coming. This belief was so strong the Russian Orthodox Church temporarily stopped calculating the date of Easter beyond 1491. But the only significant event that year was Columbus sailing the ocean blue.
During the Reformation and Early Modern Era between the years 1500 and 1840, the history shows new predictions of the second coming were often tied to celestial events, religious and political upheaval, and increasingly specific numerical calculations. The astrologer Johannes Stöffler observed planetary alignment in Pisces (a water sign) as a sign of a great flood and the Millennium and predicted the coming of Christ on February 20, 1524. There was no flood and no visitation from Christ on that day. A German mathematician named Michael Stifel figured Judgement Day would be on October 19, 1533, but that date too passed without fanfare or judgement.
Then a number of people (William Aspinwall, Johann Jacob Zimmermann, John Mason, and Henry Archer) foresaw Christ's return in 1673, 1694 and 1700, based on their readings of the Book of Daniel and the Book of Revelation. None of those years heralded Jesus' return. Lastly, Joanna Southcott made the remarkable claim she was carrying the Christ child and that he would be born on December 25, 1814. However, no babe from her womb was born that day and in fact, Southcott died on Christmas day of 1814. An autopsy would prove that she was never carrying a child.
From 1840 onward, the world has seen a significant uptick in increasingly complex, and repeatedly revised predictions of Christ's return. This era of failed prognostications could be divided into The Great Advent Movement and then the Modern Times period.
William Miller and the Millerites tried to wrest knowledge from the Bible and the Book of Daniel to establish the specific date of October 22, 1844. However, they experienced the "Great Disappointment" which led to a fracturing of the group, including the creation of the Seventh-day Adventists. A number of other less well-known diviners such as George Rapp, Joseph Morris, John Wroe, Charles Taze Russell, and a Piute Indian named Wovoka claimed Christ would visit Earth again in 1847, 1861, 1863, 1874 and 1890. One creative way in which Charles Taze Russell managed his failed prediction was to claim that Christ indeed returned, but was invisible.
Then there is the Mormon prophet Joseph Smith and his followers. In 1835, Smith prophesied to the twelve Mormon apostles that "the coming of the Lord, which was nigh - even fifty-six years should wind up the scene," which translates into the year 1891 (Smith, J., & The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, 2022). Eight years later, Smith received another revelation from in which he was told by God that if he lived to be eighty-five years old, Christ would appear again (Smith, J., & The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, n.d.). This would have put the date at 1890. Regardless the imprecision, both 1890 and 1891 passed with not even a hem of Jesus appearing on Earth.
Many followers of Smith received their Patriarchal blessings, including my own grandmother, in which it was stated they would live to see the second coming of Christ. My grandmother was born in 1917 and died in 2004. Her blessing said, "thy life shall be prolonged and thou shalt be permitted to see Zion redeemed and of seeing and assisting in the building of the Temple in the Central Stake of Zion, where the Lord will come in His glory and thou shalt be permitted to assist in the great work under the personal supervision of the Savior and shall be satisfied with thy life's work."
In 1831, the Catholic Apostolic Church predicted Christ would return after the last of the 12 founding apostles of its church died. The last Apostle died in 1901, but Christ did not return that year. The Jehovah's Witnesses church believes Christ has invisibly returned in 1914. In the following year in 1915, John Chilembwe who was a Baptist educator, believed the 1000 year period of peace, known as the Millennium, would begin. This epoch of peace has largely been associated with the return of the Christ. Herbert Armstrong made several failed, revised and failed again predictions in the latter half of the 20th century. And a sect within the Seventh-day Adventist believed Christ would return in 1964. Benjamin Creme went with the precise date of Monday, June 21, 1982 as Christ's return. But when he did not return, Creme fell back on the excuse that the world was not ready for his return.
Then there was Edgar C. Whisenant, who was a former NASA engineer who published "88 Reasons Why The Rapture Will Be in 1988." When he was proven wrong, he tried again with another publication called "The Final Shout: Rapture Report 1989" which also proved inaccurate, so he tried one more time with predicting the return of Christ in 1993 with updated calculations but Christ did not return that year either.
The Nelson Megalomania
I could go on. There are at least 16 more instances of failed predictions documented between the years of 1994 and 2025. And this brings me to the reason why I'm writing this blog post. In 2024 and 2025, my wife and I began to notice subtle expressions, every so often, of a soft plea of prayer from friends and family for Christ's return. Every bit of perceived misfortune would be acknowledged with a sigh of "we need Jesus to return."
At first, we thought it was a bit odd and we didn't understand why these expressions were increasing. In our formative years, it seemed the Mormon church had learned its lesson of going out on a limb by predicting and talking frequently of Christ's return, only to be proven wrong with failed predictions. The prevailing doctrine (somewhat strictly enforced by leadership) was to declare no one except God the Father, knew when Christ would return. This doctrine and policy kept the fringe believers away from speculation, and prevented further splintering of the church. However, if there were going to be any signs of Christ's return, one generally accepted sign of Christ's imminent return would be two witnesses or perhaps apostles, being killed in Jerusalem, and their bodies would lay in the street for 3 1/2 days before being resurrected for entire world to witness. If I recall, this prophecy is based on Revelation 11. But alas, these days, there are no witnesses or apostles in Jerusalem in 2025.
So, why this change from not talking about Christ's return to infrequent sighs and moans calling for his return? My theory is that the recent president of the Mormon church, Russell Nelson began talking it up more during his tenure. It seems to have begun in October 2018, after Nelson emphasized the need to use Christ's name when referencing the church, as opposed to common designations, such as the Mormon church. In this sermon, he notes the Mormon church's purpose of preparing the world for the Second Coming of Christ. Also, he placed a lot of emphasis on the 200th anniversary of Joseph Smith's first vision, which would be celebrated in 2020. Of course, this anniversary, coupled with the global pandemic might have further spurred speculation of a Messianic return.
Recent history shows that in the 2012 church general conferences, the topic of the Second Coming was not referenced a single time. And between the years of 2013 and 2017, it was referenced no more than five times each year. And this trend was fairly average for all church general conferences between 1982 and 2017. But with the beginning of Nelson's October 2018 sermon, the topic of the Second Coming began to be referred to many times. In fact, the 5 year rolling average indicates that the topic of the Second Coming in the Mormon general conferences has been the highest in 50 years, aligned with the calling of Russell Nelson as president of the church (General Conference Analytics, 2025).
With Nelson's opening 'Second Coming' salvo, many other speakers began to follow suit and began talking 'Second Coming preparation.' One solid example is Renlund (2025) exhorting members to personally prepare to meet Jesus. He cites Nelson and scriptures in an effort to help people feel prepared for the return of Christ. Interestingly, in his sermon he advises members to be wary of "pretenders [who] would try to deceive the very elect and that many disciples would be duped. We should neither believe those who falsely claim divine sanction nor venture into metaphorical deserts or secret chambers to be taught by counterfeits" (2025). The irony of this admonition is rich coming from a leader of a church that is worth north of $200 billion (Semerad, 2025). It is no small fact that the church has tried to hide and even deceive its own members of the vast amount of wealth it possesses, despite Christ's explicit admonition that man (or church) cannot serve both God and Mammon (Matthew, 6:24).
You have the resources to deal with that which has been given you
As I mentioned before, anecdotally, my wife and I have noticed friends and family express a desire for Jesus' return. A review of messages from the last several months show examples such as, "I think it's time for the savior's return!" and "We just need the savior to come" and "only Jesus can save us now" and similar other requests and statements. As we thought about these 'prayers' we began discussing what they truly mean. What is the best way to comprehend these statements? Are we to take them literally, or are they made in bad faith?
Most, if not all, of these statements were expressed in the context of life challenges, world events or other perceived difficulties. And, as I mentioned in the previous section, they were expressed in the context of church leaders choosing to focus on preparing for the return of Jesus. So, given all this context, it can be challenging to determine if this is "prophetic programming" or if indeed, these are personal expressions of what they are thinking and feeling. However, regardless of which is the best interpretation for how to interpret these expressions, I contend there is a higher, more rational path which might be more aligned with keeping the first great commandment, to use Christian vernacular.
Deconstructing this thought ('we need Jesus to return'), it seems to be synonymous with an abdication of responsibility. Exactly what is the problem for which we need a divine, super-power entity to come save us? This expression has been the verbal response to incurable cancer, political unrest, war, murders and assassinations. However, the world has, for centuries, experienced all these events and more and Christ did not return in response to those happenings. I would argue these recent events are minute compared to so many other atrocities humanity has previously endured. Indeed, we (humanity) have collectively confronted and addressed these issues before and we will continue confronting them and trying to resolve them. It is up to us; we have the ability to respond to each and all of these events - it is our responsibility.
Indeed, the universal gift God has granted each of us is the ability to "deal with that which has been given to [us]" (Epictetus, Discourses 1.29.39). What is up to us is the use of our rationality and choice in deciding which virtue we should exercise in response to an event, such as incurable cancer, political unrest, war, murders and assassinations. In fact, if one reads the entirety of Epictetus' Discourses, one will come away with the strong impression that Epictetus was dead set against complainers, gripers and anyone who would bemoan their lot in life (e.g. complain against God). Anyone who complained about his lot in life, was deemed to be malcontent by Epictetus. The righteous way; the pious way of living life, according to Epictetus, was to "die in a god-like way .. endure disease in a god-like way" (Discourse 2.8.28) and never find fault with God who has given him his lot and fate in life.
Consider this passage from Discourses 1.6.41-43.
[41]Possessing these faculties as you do, free and as your own, you fail to make use of them, however, and fail to perceive what it is that you have received, and from whom, [42] but sit there grieving and groaning, some of you blinded towards the giver and not even recognizing your benefactor, while others are led astray by their meanness of spirit into making reproaches and complaints against God. [43] And yet I can show you that you have the resources and equipment that are needed to be noble-minded and courageous, while it is for you to show me what occasion you have for complaint and reproach!
Or this rebuke about someone who thinks the will of God should be anything than what it is (Discourses 3.8.6).
‘But Zeus is not acting rightly in all of this.’—Why? Because he has given you the ability to endure things, and has made you noble-minded, because he has prevented these things from being evils, because he has made it possible for you to suffer them and still be happy, because he has left the door open for you, for when things are no longer good for you? Go out, man, and don’t complain.
In brief, God "has no need of a spectator who is always complaining about his lot" (Discourses 4.1.108).
I contend, whether someone proclaims to be a Christian or not, that to desire for Jesus or God to descend to earth in order to 'save us' breaks the first great commandment. We should be ashamed like little children who appeal to some authority to fix things for them. It is one thing for kids to act this way; it's entirely disgraceful for fully rational adults to abdicate responsibility for what is up to them.
Consequently, both the ancients and Jesus taught us how we are to approach trials, injustices and people who are vicious. We are to love what God has sent our way - we are to love our circumstances and those in our lives. And when it comes to loving who are in our lives (not the ones we naturally love, but the vicious), we are to turn the other cheek and go the extra mile (Matthew, 5:29, 41-42). When it comes to challenges and trails in life, we love them and God by demonstrating which virtues (courage, discipline, temperance or wisdom) are best suited for a given event. And when it comes to dealing with other people who choose or live poorly, we can do our part to teach and correct them. Epictetus (2015, fragment 5) provides an excellent example of the Spartan lawgiver Lycurgus.
Who among us doesn’t admire the saying of Lycurgus the Spartan? For when he had been blinded in one eye by one of his fellow citizens, and the young man was handed over to him by the people for him to exact whatever vengeance he might wish, he refrained from doing so, but gave him a proper education instead, made a good man of him, and presented him in the theatre; and when the Spartans showed surprise, he said, ‘When I received him from you, this man was offensive and violent, and I’m returning him to you as someone who is well behaved and public-spirited.
Conclusion
To conclude, human history is filled with predictions of Christ's Second Coming which ultimately proved false. It seems Mormonism learned its lesson to not emphasize the Second Coming as much, but in the recent years, church leaders have begun to underscore the importance of preparing for Christ's return, which has seemingly had the effect of causing some members to wish or pray for God to send His Son back to earth. However, I have argued this desire can sometimes function as an abdication of personal responsibility and agency—perhaps even contradicting the first great commandment to love God with all one’s heart, soul, and mind (Matthew 22:37). Rather than acting helpless to the challenges of life and supplicating for Jesus to save us, we should recall we have God-given gifts to deal well with our lot and fate in life. In fact, what we have been given was given by God! These challenges and events are ours to deal with and therefore, to love them, is to love God. And as for those who God has placed in our life, we are to turn the other cheek and go the extra mile in an effort to demonstrate the virtues which are up to us.
References
Epictetus. (2014). Discourses, Fragments, Handbook (R. Hard, Trans.). Oxford University Press.
General Conference Analytics. (2025). General Conference Analytics. Github.io. https://cgood92.github.io/general-conference-stats/#/search-trends?speaker=&start=1971&end=2025&searchTerms=second+coming&searchTerms=
Nelson, R. M. (2018, October). The Correct Name of the Church. Www.churchofjesuschrist.org. https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/general-conference/2018/10/the-correct-name-of-the-church?lang=eng
Melendez, B. (Director). (1966, October 27). It’s the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown.
Renlund, D. (2025, April). Personal Preparation to Meet the Savior. Churchofjesuschrist.org. https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/general-conference/2025/04/25renlund?lang=eng
Semerad, T. (2025, April). Why the LDS Church soon may not need tithing anymore to cover its global programs. The Salt Lake Tribune. https://www.sltrib.com/religion/2025/04/01/lds-church-wealth-day-soon-may/
Smith, J., & The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. (2022). History, 1838–1856, volume B-1 [1 September 1834–2 November 1838], Page 564. Josephsmithpapers.org. https://www.josephsmithpapers.org/paper-summary/history-1838-1856-volume-b-1-1-september-1834-2-november-1838/18
Smith, J., & The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. (n.d.). Doctrine and Covenants 130. Www.churchofjesuschrist.org. https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/scriptures/dc-testament/dc/130?lang=eng
Wikipedia Contributors. (2025, October 22). Predictions and claims for the Second Coming. Wikipedia; Wikimedia Foundation. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_and_claims_for_the_Second_Coming
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